The Prompt

July 11, 2025

Redefining the Research Stack: How AI and Synthetic Data Are Reshaping Insight Generation

AI is redefining market research—ushering in an intelligence era focused on high-quality insights, scalable rigor, and trusted data-driven decisions.

Redefining the Research Stack: How AI and Synthetic Data Are Reshaping Insight Generation

The market research industry is undergoing a significant shift, one that transcends automation and reaches the core of how we define, structure, and act on data. As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes more embedded in research workflows, it is ushering in what many consider the third wave of transformation: the intelligence era.

This new phase follows the digitization of traditional methodologies and the rise of programmatic exchanges, both of which increased the speed and scalability of data collection. Today, however, the priority is no longer operational efficiency. It is generating high-quality, granular insights at scale, while preserving the rigor and trust the industry was built on. With this in mind, robust algorithms and quality processes are crucial for actionable and accurate insights in an AI-influenced landscape.

Understanding the Role of Synthetic Data

Among the most discussed, and often misunderstood, developments in this intelligence era is the emergence of synthetic data. In a research context, synthetic data refers to algorithmically generated data sets that are created to mimic the characteristics of real-world observations. It is not designed to replace primary research, but to augment existing data, particularly in cases where traditional collection methods are constrained by cost, access, or speed.

Synthetic data can be used to model likely responses from hard-to-reach audiences, generate early signals on new creative concepts, or even enrich existing survey results by simulating additional scenarios or personas. It is especially useful in exploratory phases or when testing hypotheses prior to fielding a full-scale study.

Still, its utility depends entirely on the quality and transparency of the underlying data. Synthetic models trained on biased or incomplete inputs risk amplifying those shortcomings. As such, the integration of synthetic data must be done with careful oversight and a commitment to methodological integrity.

From Static to Iterative Workflows

AI is accelerating a broader shift in how research workflows are structured. Traditional models often followed a linear process: define the brief, field the survey, analyze results, deliver a report. Emerging models are more dynamic, researchers can now layer quantitative and qualitative inputs, run micro-studies to test directional hypotheses, and iterate based on continuous learning.

Synthetic data supports this shift by enabling faster decision-making in the face of uncertainty. When used responsibly, it can extend the shelf life of existing research, reduce the need for repeated fieldwork, and allow for rapid exploration of “what-if” scenarios. For example, a researcher might supplement a limited-sample creative test with synthetic extensions that estimate performance among adjacent segments, then return to the field for validation if results warrant it.

This iterative model does not eliminate the need for new data collection, it simply ensures that researchers are collecting the right data at the right time.

Digital Twins vs Simulated Segments

Another concept gaining traction is the use of digital twins, data-driven models that replicate the characteristics of a specific consumer profile. Built using first-party data, qualitative feedback, and behavioral trends, digital twins can simulate how real people might respond to a campaign, policy, or product feature. Consider a scenario where AI is tasked with generating a virtual IT decision-maker. To achieve this effectively, it would require a highly specialized dataset, a multi-step training and evaluation process, and a mechanism to continually update these personas with the latest industry trends.

These models offer particular value in early-stage testing and persona refinement. However, accuracy depends on representativeness and robustness of the method used in the development of these twins. A digital twin built on out-of-date or overly generic data will not deliver meaningful insight. The strongest use cases involve layering synthetic models atop verified respondent data to create a richer, more contextual understanding of audience behavior. In contrast to engineering and medicine, where true digital twins create unique models from individual data, market research often uses a looser interpretation, developing simulated personas or segment archetypes. While valuable for scenario testing, it is important to note that these are not digital twins in the formal sense.

In short: digital twins should be a heuristic, not a substitute, for actual consumer input.

Balancing Innovation with Accountability

Despite the promise of synthetic data and AI-enabled workflows, hesitation remains, particularly on the brand side. Marketers and insights leaders are being asked to take more risks with fewer resources, while still delivering defensible, data-backed recommendations. In high-stakes decisions involving campaign strategy, brand direction, or product development, not all data carries equal weight.

This is where transparency and governance become critical. Any use of synthetic or AI-derived insight should be clearly delineated from primary data. Stakeholders must understand what is real, what is modeled, and what assumptions inform those outputs. Just as nutrition labels are required on food packaging, methodological clarity should be standard practice in research deliverables.

It is also essential that data scientists and traditional researchers work collaboratively. AI can surface patterns and speed up synthesis, but it cannot replace the expertise required to understand nuance, cultural signals, or consumer emotion. Human oversight is not optional, it is the foundation of credible insight.

A Pragmatic Path Forward

Synthetic data is not a silver bullet, but it is a powerful tool when applied in the right context. Early-stage creative testing, message optimization, and hard-to-reach segment modeling are just a few areas where it can add value. As adoption grows, the focus should remain on fit-for-purpose application, not blanket replacement of existing methodologies.

The future of market research will be shaped by those who balance innovation with discernment, who leverage AI for scale and speed, but refuse to compromise on transparency or trust. In this next chapter, success will not be defined by who adopts new tools the fastest, but by who uses them most responsibly.

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The views, opinions, data, and methodologies expressed above are those of the contributor(s) and do not necessarily reflect or represent the official policies, positions, or beliefs of Greenbook.

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